Manchester City vs Al-Hilal Riyadh: prediction & betting odds 1 July 2025

The Round of 16 match in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup between Manchester City (England) and Al-Hilal (Saudi Arabia) will take place on July 1 at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, USA. Manchester City vs. Al-Hilal: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Manchester City

The Citizens were the standout performers in the group stage of the 2025 Club World Cup. Pep Guardiola's side won all three of their matches, boasting the most prolific attack and the best goal difference of 13:2. The team defeated Wydad (2-0), Al Ain (6-0), and Juventus (5-2). This is Manchester City's second participation in the Club World Cup, and they have yet to draw a match in this tournament (5 wins). Notably, only Juventus managed to score against Manchester City in the Club World Cup.


  • The English side has won all five of their Club World Cup matches in regular time by at least two goals.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of Manchester City's last 7 matches in the UEFA Champions League and Club World Cup.
  • The Citizens have led at halftime in all five of their Club World Cup matches.

Predicted lineup for Manchester City (4-3-3)

Ederson – Matheus Nunes, Ruben Dias, Manuel Akanji, Rayan Ait-Nouri – Rodri Hernandez, Bernardo Silva, Tijjani Reijnders – Jeremy Doku, Omar Marmoush, Savio.


Defender Rico Lewis will miss the match due to suspension, and midfielder Claudio Echeverri is out for the tournament with an injury.

Al-Hilal

Simone Inzaghi's team advanced to the Round of 16 from second place in a challenging Group H. They secured their playoff spot only in the final match, defeating Pachuca 2-0. In the first two matches, Al-Hilal drew with Real Madrid (1-1) and Salzburg (0-0). The club's defense deserves special mention, having conceded just one goal in the tournament. Only two other teams, Monterrey and PSG, can boast the same defensive record.


  • In their last eight Club World Cup matches, the team has only won twice in regular time (3 draws and 3 losses).
  • Al-Hilal has not won the second half in 7 of their last 8 games in this tournament (5 draws and 2 losses).
  • The Saudis have not conceded more than one goal in 90 minutes in 10 of their last 11 matches in the AFC Champions League and Club World Cup.

Predicted lineup for Al-Hilal (4-3-3)

Yassine Bounou – Kalidou Koulibaly, Renan Lodi, Hassan Al-Tambakti, Joao Cancelo – Ruben Neves, Nasser Al-Dawsari, Sergej Milinkovic-Savic – Malcom, Salem Al-Dawsari, Marcos Leonardo.


Forward Aleksandar Mitrovic's participation is uncertain due to an injury, and Musab Al-Juwaier missed training due to knee discomfort. Additionally, Abdullah Al-Hamdan is out with a calf strain, and captain Salem Al-Dawsari will miss the remainder of the tournament due to a hamstring injury.

Referee

Jesus Valenzuela (Venezuela)


Matches – 6 (International matches, 2025);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 27;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 25;

Penalties – 50%.

Match Prediction: Manchester City vs. Al-Hilal

It's impressive how easily Manchester City dispatched their group stage opponents. Pep Guardiola frequently rotated his starting lineup, yet it didn't impact the team's performance. In all three group matches, the Citizens won convincingly by two or more goals.


Consider Manchester City's results over the past three months. During this period, they played 15 official matches, achieving 12 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in regular time. Importantly, they won by two or more goals in nine of these matches. I don't think Al-Hilal will be able to stop the English side's incredible momentum.


My prediction: Manchester City with a handicap (-1.5)


Manchester City — Al-Hilal Riyadh betting tips 1 July 2025

Manchester City have rediscovered their form and breezed through the group stage, while Al Hilal only just secured a place in the knockout round. The main point of interest in this fixture lies more in the scoreline than the outcome itself.

The Manchester team dominated the group stage, winning all three matches with an aggregate score of 13:2. They dismantled Al Ain (6:0), comfortably beat Juventus (5:2), and saw off Wydad AC (2:0). Manchester City were ruthless in attack, scoring from a range of positions, and largely solid at the back aside from a few individual mistakes. Even Juventus managed only two shots on target — both ending in goals, one of which came after a major error by Ederson Moraes. Overall, Manchester City controlled proceedings and created chances with little resistance.

Al Hilal recorded two draws against Real Madrid and Red Bull Salzburg (1:1 and 0:0 respectively), and only advanced by defeating CF Pachuca 2:0 in the final group match, making the most of counter-attacking situations. However, the attacking efficiency of the squad remains in doubt: just three goals from three matches, despite generating 5.14 xG. The ongoing absence of key striker Aleksandar Mitrović, still sidelined through injury, continues to hinder their attacking threat.

Manchester City have consistently broken through even the most organised defensive setups, as seen in their performance against Juventus, who had only conceded five goals in their previous seven games. In contrast, Al Hilal have struggled in front of goal and seem unlikely to cope with the pressure from Erling Haaland and the rest of the Manchester City attacking unit.

Betting prediction
Manchester City (-1.5)
Cf
Odds
7/10
Bet now

Manchester City vs Al-Hilal Riyadh Odds

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FIFA Club World Cup: previous matches in the tournament

Manchester City
26.06.25
Juventus
Manchester City
W
23.06.25
Manchester City
Al Ain
W
18.06.25
Manchester City
Wydad
W
More matches
Al-Hilal Riyadh
27.06.25
Al-Hilal Riyadh
Pachuca
W
22.06.25
Red Bull Salzburg
Al-Hilal Riyadh
D
18.06.25
Real Madrid
Al-Hilal Riyadh
D
More matches

Group stage

FIFA Club World Cup: Group G
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Manchester City
  -:- 6:0 2:0 3 3 0 0
13:2
9
2
Juventus
2:5   -:- 4:1 3 2 0 1
11:6
6
3
Al Ain
-:- 0:5   -:- 3 1 0 2
2:12
3
4
Wydad
-:- -:- 1:2   3 0 0 3
2:8
0

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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